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Brexit

brexitPolarization

Speak too early? BBC and other media outlets in the UK have reported the Brexit Leave vote seem most likely, either way the vote has been close and will likely polarize the public for years to come.

With 71% of votes counted the leave vote  have 14.7 Million votes a million votes ahead of the remain vote, with about 3 million votes to count.

Should the vote be successful the UK will begin negotiations with the EU parliament to exit over a 2 year period.

British pound has lost 10% of its value against the USD in news of the vote. Australian stocks showing losses on the news.

 

Them days are gone

Bureau of what? Anyway a very compelling video of what the media has censored out of the immigration debate for years if not decades.

 

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GDPislamOILtagged

 

So why do you think Muslims are moving to the west? Their societies are about to crumble under the weight of massive over breeding and dwindling natural resource to exploit. After decades of living from oil these Muslim nations have in most cases not developed any other exports and will simply collapse without oil. We are seeing just the first waves of economic migrants from Muslim dominated failing oil states. Muslims nations currently only produce 5.8% export goods as much as typical non-muslim nations. Woefully in-competitive. So now they will demand welfare from the western world with threats of violence, there are other words for that, mugging, theft, extortion.

In just 4 day we have had major terror attacks in France and Germany, just a few months after the Syrian refugee/invader crisis began.

The attacks will only get worse if people don’t awaken to the true agenda of Islam; to conquer, by any means necessary, all lands it finds its followers on.

The backlash will begin soon.

The Ukrainian upheaval: Some geopolitical perspectives

The Ukraine is becoming a complex and fast moving conflict with multiple factions having multiple agendas.

For the latest updates: https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPR

It seems that this conflict started as a proxy war between Russia/CIS  vs  EU/US, but additional home-grown factions soon saw their chance to enter the power vacuum. The Crimea has talked of independence so what you have is at least four factions.

Some might argue Russia is simply suffering from a bruised ego, but the conflict goes deeper than this. The former USSR states are attempting to for a new USSR called the CIS, a copy of the EU incorporating many of the former USSR states.  You might be wondering why Ukraine is so important to Russia and the CIS in this plan. The answer is of course petrochemicals, not oil per se this time, but rather gas pipelines.

The Gas

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The Ukraine is strategically important have the majority of Russian gas pipelines to Europe, Without the Ukraine Russia has only one pipeline going  through  Belarus to deliver is gas to Europe. Giving Belarus a monopoly on gas delivery to Europe would make Belarus far too powerful for Russia’s liking, and far too powerful in a proposed CIS.

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Russia is of course building other pipe lines to be less dependent on the Ukraine and Belarus, but these are massive projects and take significant time and resources to complete.

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The gas deals are of course very controversial, Yukanovych and Tymoshenko were both implicated in dirty deals and skimming money off gas deals with Russia, and most recently (2010) the controversial Ukrainian decision to allow Russian to keep its black sea fleet in port of Sevastapol, on the Crimean peninsula until 2042.

The Crimea

Crimea has wanted Independence from both Russia and the Ukraine for at least a decade. The Crimean Economy is largely based on the two navies stationed there, (the Ukrainian and Russian) the industries that support the Navies.  Tourism Is economically significant being a temperate ( and Russian speaking)  beach side resort for many people of the CIS. The Crimean does not want to risk bad relations with Russia and the CIS, as the tourism money would disappear.

While Russia has other land that borders the Black sea, they have had their navy stationed In Sevastopol since 1783, briefly forced out by the Germans in WW2, so naturally feel they belong there. Sevastapol is part of the Ukraine so the Ukrainian navy feel it should belong there. As a deep water port the Crimean has some interesting advantages, because of its island/peninsula arrangement the Navy can quite easily surround and defend its port from land based attack, This makes it a natural stronghold, not something any navy would want to give up. The black sea flows through the Dardanelles past Gallipoli (which we all should know about) into the Mediterranean (of importance to the EU) and then to the rest of the world’s oceans.

This of course leads to somewhat strange situation of two navies both being stationed in the same place, almost a naval cold war.

So what this is about is the politics of the middle man.

For the Gas pipelines Ukraine and particularly Kiev are able to set the price (and quantity) of Russian gas entering the EU. Controlling this flow of energy and money between two powerful economic blocs makes for significant political power and significant risk of corruption.

For whoever controls the Crimea and Sevastopol controls the black sea and its ability to deploy naval and military force in the region. Controlling a geopolitically significant deep water seaport is an extremely powerful tool in diplomacy. Russia wants to build a gas pipeline under the black sea so will need to control the black sea to assure the project and hardly want the additional expense of building a new naval port as well.

An independent Crimea would be unlikely to create a naval fleet of its own and would likely take the highest bid to station any interested party, which could be almost anyone, Turkey, US, EU, Iran… This could become a geopolitical lottery, or just Russian Roulette.

It’s not easy being an honest middle man.

Ukraine: violent clashes, revolution likely

ukraine ustream channel pic

Links to live stream channels.

http://channel9000.net/euromajdan2/

Some English commentary from:

http://channel9000.net/spilno3/

protesters defeat armoured personnel carrier

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6Eaqfi6gZg

protesters using guns and attacking riot cops

http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=34e_1392746107#qMxuguTeJ7T5irHc.99

Inside the EU parliament

 

English with Greek subtitles

Nigel Farage giving the EU parliament a bit of a reality check.

But why so many empty seats?

 

German and English with English subtitles

As usual most politicians are just parasites having a good bludge/rort at the expense of the taxpayer.

New Currency designs for US and EU

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Zero-Euro

So how much is ‘money’ actually worth?

Ukraine unrest soars

Ukraine having greater social unrest just 10 years after the orange revolution now faced with joining The new EU or the old USSR

Ukraine having greater social unrest just 10 years after the orange revolution now faced with joining The new EU or the old USSR

 

https://occupymelbourne.net/2014/01/23/playing-kiev-chicken-ukraine-poised-for-revolution/

 

 

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